World prediction markets
Wars and ceasefires, treaties and summits, elections beyond the US — global events priced by traders with skin in the game, updated as headlines break.
Live World markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Closes July 31, 2026
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Trump out as President before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closes October 10, 2026
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Closes December 31, 2026
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closes October 10, 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Closes July 31, 2026
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Closes October 31, 2026
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closes October 10, 2026
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Closes July 31, 2026
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Closes July 17, 2026
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closes October 10, 2026
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?Closes August 31, 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Closes August 31, 2026
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Closes August 31, 2026
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Closes July 31, 2026
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Closes August 18, 2026
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Closes July 15, 2026
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Closes July 31, 2026
- Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Closes July 31, 2026
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Closes August 31, 2026
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Closes September 30, 2026
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Iran coup attempt by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Closes September 30, 2026
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Closes July 15, 2026
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Closes June 30, 2027
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Closes September 30, 2026
- Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026