Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
As of October 15, 2026, the market gives “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?” a 97% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 3% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 97% |
| Volume | $2,568,063 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated October 15, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.