Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?” a 96% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 4% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 96% |
| Volume | $179,611 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
US diplomatic outreach under the current administration has centered on expanding the Abraham Accords framework to Azerbaijan and additional Central Asian states, building on Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession as a largely symbolic step leveraging preexisting diplomatic and economic ties with Israel. Azerbaijan stands out in recent talks as a leading near-term candidate, though analysts note a peace agreement with Armenia as a potential precondition. Saudi Arabia normalization remains stalled amid Palestinian statehood demands and regional conflicts, with US officials conditioning certain nuclear cooperation on progress. These dynamics, alongside efforts to tie Accords expansion to broader security and economic initiatives, shape trader assessments of which country could complete formal steps before the 2027 deadline.