Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?” a 95% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 6% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 95% |
| Volume | $35,065 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Russian forces have conducted repeated infiltration attempts and localized assaults toward Prymorske in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast since early 2026, operating as part of the Dnepr Grouping near the Konka River and Orikhiv axis. Ukrainian counterattacks in March 2026 pushed Russian small units out of northern and central sectors of the settlement, and subsequent reporting through May indicates continued Ukrainian pressure that has limited Russian consolidation or full control. Broader assessments show Russian territorial gains across the front slowed sharply in May, with Ukrainian sources noting net territorial recovery exceeding Russian advances in the period. Ongoing drone and artillery activity on both sides, combined with Ukrainian defensive operations, continues to shape the tactical situation around Prymorske without evidence of a decisive shift in the most recent weeks.