Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
As of September 3, 2026, the market gives “Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” a 92% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 9% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 92% |
| Volume | $3,022,393 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 3, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Gadi Eizenkot’s Yashar party has gained strong momentum in recent Israeli polling ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, positioning him as the frontrunner for prime minister in trader assessments. As a former IDF chief of staff who resigned from Netanyahu’s war cabinet over Gaza strategy, Eizenkot projects a hawkish security profile while emphasizing an outsider image, personal family sacrifices in the conflict, and appeal that draws support from both right-leaning and broader voters disillusioned with the incumbent. Netanyahu’s Likud remains competitive but trails or ties in many surveys amid coalition fatigue after the full term and post-October 2023 wars. Other figures such as Naftali Bennett have lost ground, while smaller parties and bloc arithmetic keep any majority uncertain without cross-bloc deals.