Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of September 3, 2026, the market gives “Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?” a 95% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 6% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 95% |
| Volume | $63,746 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 3, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Saudi Arabia remains the most frequently discussed prospective addition to the Abraham Accords, though Riyadh has consistently linked any normalization with Israel to a credible pathway toward Palestinian statehood. Recent regional dynamics, including the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and Saudi-led coordination with Turkey, Pakistan, Egypt, and Qatar on alternative security frameworks, have further distanced the kingdom from the Accords process. Oman has publicly ruled out normalization absent Palestinian progress, while Central Asian states such as Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan are viewed as longer-term possibilities following Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession. Somaliland has expressed interest after establishing diplomatic ties with Israel, but no formal accession has occurred. With only months remaining before 2027, structural barriers tied to the Palestinian issue and shifting Gulf alignments limit near-term expansion prospects.