Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?” a 80% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 20% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 80% |
| Volume | $229,379 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to face internal tensions with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps over decision-making authority, particularly regarding energy routes and security policy, following the 2026 conflict and leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination. Reports from May through August documented multiple resignation offers tied to these rifts and influence from Mojtaba Khamenei, though Pezeshkian has repeatedly denied plans to step down and affirmed alignment with regime institutions. Recent rial depreciation has intensified domestic economic pressure, while Pezeshkian pursues multilateral diplomacy at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and signals openness to renewed U.S. talks under the June memorandum framework. These dynamics shape trader assessments of his tenure stability amid competing factional priorities and scheduled regional engagements.