Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?” a 83% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 18% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 83% |
| Volume | $210,305 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Masoud Pezeshkian remains Iran's president amid post-conflict stabilization following the 2026 U.S.-Israel confrontation and the March assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Trader focus centers on May 2026 reports—denied by officials—of a resignation letter submitted over IRGC influence in executive decisions and exclusion from core policy. Pezeshkian has continued public engagement, including statements on national unity after the conflict and finalization of a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding scheduled for signing around June 19. Key variables include the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's position on the presidency, any post-agreement power realignments, and institutional succession rules that could trigger removal or replacement before scheduled term end.