Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of September 2, 2026, the market gives “Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?” a 96% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 4% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 96% |
| Volume | $9,051 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 2, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
**Saudi Arabia remains the focal point for any near-term expansion of the Abraham Accords, yet its longstanding precondition of credible progress toward Palestinian statehood continues to block normalization despite U.S. pressure.** President Trump has repeatedly urged Riyadh and others—including Qatar, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, and Jordan—to join collectively, tying a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement directly to accession. However, Saudi Arabia has instead pursued alternative security alignments, such as defense pacts with Pakistan and Turkey, amid divergences with UAE partners and lingering effects from regional conflicts. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the first post-2020 expansion into Central Asia, but no Arab state has followed. With only months remaining before 2027, diplomatic timelines, Israeli domestic politics, and unresolved Palestinian issues limit immediate breakthroughs, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on established or low-likelihood candidates.