Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
As of October 20, 2026, the market gives “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?” a 92% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 9% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 92% |
| Volume | $753,425 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated October 20, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.