Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
As of September 2, 2026, the market gives “Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?” a 90% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 10% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 90% |
| Volume | $1,776,178 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 2, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
The trader consensus favoring Nicolás Maduro at end-2026 stems from institutional continuity under the United Socialist Party of Venezuela despite his January 2026 U.S. capture and ongoing detention on drug charges. Delcy Rodríguez, as acting president, has consolidated power with support from figures including Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello, while U.S.-backed government-opposition talks launched in August have produced limited agreements on judicial reform and prisoner releases but no firm timeline for new elections. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile, and the slow pace of any democratic transition under external influence leaves little scope for rapid leadership shifts before year-end.