Iran Nuke before 2027?
As of November 5, 2026, the market gives “Iran Nuke before 2027?” a 97% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 3% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 97% |
| Volume | $1,571,722 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated November 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".