Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
As of September 3, 2026, the market gives “Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?” a 94% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 7% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 94% |
| Volume | $3,100,685 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 3, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Martial law in Ukraine, extended through at least October 2026, continues to prohibit presidential elections under constitutional rules, with the Verkhovna Rada approving renewals in 90-day increments. Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains in office as incumbent after his 2019 term expired in 2024, per Article 108 provisions allowing continuity until a successor assumes power. Recent August 2026 calls by former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov for a wartime vote prompted Zelenskyy to reject the idea as too risky amid active conflict, citing security, displacement, and territorial control barriers. Polling shows Zelenskyy retaining competitive support against potential challengers, though no election preparations or lifting of martial law appear imminent before year-end. These structural and wartime constraints underpin trader consensus that Zelenskyy will hold the presidency through 2026.