Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?” a 79% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 22% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 79% |
| Volume | $86,118 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy renewed calls for direct talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in early June 2026, issuing an open letter proposing a face-to-face meeting in a neutral venue alongside a ceasefire and prisoner exchange. Putin immediately rejected the overture, stating there was “no point” while Russian forces continued advancing. Earlier trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia sessions in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced no breakthrough and stalled amid Washington’s focus on the Iran conflict. Zelenskyy has floated formats involving the G7 summit or US-hosted discussions, with US President Donald Trump expressing support. Russia maintains preconditions including Ukrainian neutrality, territorial concessions, and sanctions relief, while Ukraine emphasizes security guarantees and rejects unilateral concessions. These positions, combined with battlefield dynamics and shifting external mediation, shape trader assessments of whether bilateral leader-level contact occurs by the market’s resolution date.