Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” a 71% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 30% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 71% |
| Volume | $3,550,602 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Gadi Eisenkot leads the market for Israel's next prime minister because successive polls since mid-2026 have positioned his Yashar party as the largest or tied for largest in the Knesset ahead of the October 27 election, with Eisenkot consistently edging Benjamin Netanyahu in direct suitability matchups. Recent surveys show Yashar projected at 22–24 seats versus Likud at 21–23, reflecting voter emphasis on Eisenkot's military record and calls for accountability after October 7 while Netanyahu's coalition bloc remains short of 61 seats. Naftali Bennett's Together list trails in third place as support has softened, while Avigdor Lieberman and smaller right-wing figures register lower shares consistent with bloc fragmentation and coalition arithmetic that favors broader center-right alignment behind Eisenkot.