Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” a 70% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 31% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 70% |
| Volume | $3,536,853 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Gadi Eisenkot leads trader expectations for Israel's next prime minister because recent polls show his new Yashar party securing the most Knesset seats and prevailing in head-to-head suitability surveys against Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the October 27 election. Eisenkot's profile as a former IDF chief of staff, his emphasis on decisive security measures, and personal losses during the Gaza conflict have drawn support from voters seeking change after the October 2023 attacks and extended inconclusive operations. Netanyahu's Likud trails in seat projections, hampered by coalition fatigue and legal pressures, while Naftali Bennett's Together party remains a distant third. Coalition arithmetic in Israel's proportional system keeps outcomes fluid, with the Zionist opposition bloc hovering near or above the 61-seat threshold in multiple surveys.