Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” a 63% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 38% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 63% |
| Volume | $2,307,210 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election due to his rising profile as leader of the new Yashar party and strong centrist-security appeal among voters seeking an alternative to the incumbent. Recent polling shows his support edging ahead of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid, bolstered by Eizenkot's former IDF chief role, personal losses in the Gaza conflict, and criticism of coalition governance. Benjamin Netanyahu remains close behind, backed by Likud's projected seat strength and right-wing bloc loyalty despite coalition strains over military exemptions and prolonged multi-front operations. Bennett's merger aims to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces but has not yet produced decisive separation. The narrow gap reflects persistent opposition fragmentation, voter priorities on security and accountability, and the structural need for a 61-seat majority in coalition negotiations.