Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of September 2, 2026, the market gives “Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?” a 94% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 6% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 94% |
| Volume | $9,615 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 2, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Saudi Arabia remains the primary focus for potential new Abraham Accords signatories before 2027, driven by repeated U.S. diplomatic pressure under President Trump linking normalization to nuclear cooperation, Iran-related deals, and regional security architecture. Kazakhstan formally acceded in November 2025 as the first expansion since 2020, though its move was largely symbolic given preexisting ties with Israel. Saudi statements continue to condition any agreement on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, while Riyadh has pursued parallel defense pacts with Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt, signaling preference for alternative alignments amid post-conflict regional dynamics. Other candidates such as Indonesia, Oman, or Qatar face similar political and domestic hurdles, with no confirmed bilateral breakthroughs reported since Kazakhstan’s accession. Upcoming U.S.-led negotiations tied to Iran ceasefire implementation or Palestinian issues could influence timelines, though structural barriers including public opposition in Arab states limit near-term prospects.