Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
As of September 3, 2026, the market gives “Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” a 52% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 48% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 52% |
| Volume | $1,734,181 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 3, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Gadi Eizenkot’s Yashar party has emerged as the frontrunner in recent Knesset polls ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, positioning him as the leading contender for prime minister due to his record as former IDF chief of staff, public sympathy over family losses in the Gaza conflict, and appeal as a security-focused outsider. Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud remains competitive but faces headwinds from prolonged criticism over security lapses since October 2023 and coalition partners that have struggled to reach a 61-seat majority. Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Golan trail further back, reflecting narrower bases among secular nationalists, center-right voters, and left-leaning blocs. Trader consensus in the market tracks these polling trends while accounting for the fragmented Knesset system, where post-election coalition negotiations will ultimately determine the outcome.