Science & Space prediction markets
Launch windows, mission outcomes and scientific milestones — from Starship tests to space-race firsts. Prediction markets put a number on how likely the next breakthrough really is.
Live Science & Space markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Closes July 31, 2026
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- New pandemic in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Closes January 10, 2027
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Closes March 31, 2027
- Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Closes January 10, 2027
- Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Closes January 10, 2027
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
- FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?Closes July 29, 2026
- Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Closes July 31, 2026
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Closes August 31, 2026
- FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?Closes July 30, 2026
- Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?Closes July 30, 2026
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
- Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Closes July 31, 2026