Natural Disaster in 2026?
As of October 20, 2026, the market gives “Natural Disaster in 2026?” a 91% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 9% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 91% |
| Volume | $250,562 |
| Closes | March 1, 2027 |
Updated October 20, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf