Tech & AI prediction markets

Model releases, product launches and big-tech moves — will the next frontier model ship this year? Traders handicap the tech industry’s biggest questions in real time.

Live Tech & AI markets

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?Closes January 1, 2027
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Closes September 30, 2026
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Closes December 31, 2026

Past Tech & AI markets

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Closed August 31, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Closed August 31, 2026
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Closed August 7, 2026
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Closed August 21, 2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Closed August 31, 2026
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Closed July 31, 2026
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Closed July 27, 2026