Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?” a 92% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 8% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 92% |
| Volume | $41,341 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, up from $47 billion in May, underpins trader positioning around the $2.0–2.5 trillion closing market-cap ranges that hold the highest implied probabilities near 41 percent. The company’s May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, combined with banker discussions targeting a potential $2 trillion debut and $100 billion raise, has aligned private and public expectations amid preparations for an October marketing window. Competitive dynamics with OpenAI and macroeconomic factors affecting risk appetite for high-growth AI names contribute to the tight distribution across the $1.75–2.75 trillion bands, while the low probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects the advanced S-1 process.