Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?” a 90% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 11% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 90% |
| Volume | $82,127 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Anthropic’s $965 billion post-money valuation from its May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion led by Altimeter, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia, anchors current trader sentiment ahead of the December 31 deadline. The company’s annualized revenue run rate near $47 billion, driven by Claude model demand and expanded compute capacity, supports premium pricing in secondary markets that have already implied levels above $1 trillion. Confidential IPO filing adds a near-term catalyst that could crystallize public-market valuation through share pricing, while continued AI infrastructure spending and competitive positioning versus OpenAI introduce execution and margin risks that traders weigh against strong private-market momentum.