Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?” a 87% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 14% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 87% |
| Volume | $58,369 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
OpenAI’s most recent primary funding round closed in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, with the figure reaffirmed in an August $7 billion employee tender offer. Annualized revenue has climbed from roughly $6 billion in early 2025 to a run rate exceeding $40 billion by August 2026, supported by subscription growth, enterprise adoption, and nascent advertising, though the company continues to post substantial operating losses. A confidential IPO filing in June 2026, with bankers targeting a potential 2027 listing, provides a key forward catalyst that could reprice shares near or above the current private mark. Secondary-market indications have varied, and sustained revenue acceleration or delays in the IPO timeline remain the primary variables that could influence whether the valuation crosses higher thresholds by year-end.