Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?” a 76% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 25% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 76% |
| Volume | $71,457 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
OpenAI’s $852 billion valuation, set by its record $122 billion March 2026 funding round and reconfirmed in an August $7 billion employee tender, remains the key benchmark heading into year-end. Revenue has scaled rapidly to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate with enterprise now exceeding consumer, yet operating cash burn continues at a similar pace and positive free cash flow is not expected until around 2030. Confidential IPO filing in June and signals from CFO Sarah Friar point to a 2027 listing potentially targeting $1 trillion or more, with no primary or secondary transactions expected before December that would reprice the company. Secondary market prices near $720–740 per share imply valuations in the mid-to-high $800 billion range, leaving any move above the current mark dependent on new capital or an accelerated public debut.