Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
As of September 3, 2026, the market gives “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?” a 79% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 21% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 79% |
| Volume | $109,213 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 3, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
OpenAI’s valuation reached $852 billion following its record $122 billion primary funding round in March 2026, anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, with revenue running at roughly $25 billion annualized. A subsequent $7 billion employee tender in August reaffirmed that level, while secondary-market indications such as Forge’s September 3 price imply a mark near $894 billion. The company confidentially filed for an IPO in June, though reports indicate a potential shift to 2027 to target a higher valuation amid rapid revenue expansion and heavy compute investments. Key swing factors for hitting any elevated threshold by year-end include continued ARR growth, additional tenders or strategic financings, and clarity on listing timing versus rival Anthropic’s $965 billion benchmark. Trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates real-capital bets on these near-term catalysts.