Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
As of July 28, 2026, the market gives “Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?” a 92% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 8% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 92% |
| Volume | $14,292 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 28, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May 2026, followed by its confidential S-1 filing on June 1, forms the core catalyst anchoring trader sentiment for its IPO closing market cap. Rapid revenue expansion to a $47 billion annualized run rate, coupled with projected operating profitability in Q2 2026, supports expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion, while competition with OpenAI and intense institutional demand for AI assets create upward pressure. The closely matched probabilities across $1.25–$2.0 trillion bins reflect uncertainty over IPO timing, market conditions, share pricing dynamics, and potential regulatory or macroeconomic headwinds that could compress or expand the first-day capitalization relative to the latest private benchmark.