
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?” a 95% chance of YES.
| YES odds | 95% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 5% |
| Volume | $176,675 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Anthropic’s valuation trajectory reflects extraordinary revenue acceleration, with annualized run-rate revenue surpassing $47 billion by May 2026 following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation. Secondary-market trades have since implied levels above $1.17 trillion, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude, hyperscaler commitments from Amazon and Google, and infrastructure partnerships. A confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 signals an anticipated IPO that could reprice the company at public-market multiples, with rumors pointing toward $2 trillion targets. Traders are monitoring model releases, compute capacity expansions, and broader AI sector multiples against benchmarks like Treasury yields and tech index levels, as any IPO timing or further funding rounds could shift implied probabilities ahead of the December 31 resolution.