Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
As of September 2, 2026, the market gives “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?” a 90% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 11% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 90% |
| Volume | $54,932 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 2, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
OpenAI's most recent primary valuation stands at $852 billion following its record $122 billion March 2026 funding round and an August 2026 employee tender that held the price flat, with secondary indications ranging from roughly $475 billion to $894 billion depending on the platform. Revenue has scaled rapidly to a reported $24–40 billion annualized run rate amid heavy compute investments, while the company confidentially filed for an IPO in June 2026 with expectations now tilting toward a 2027 listing near or above $1 trillion rather than a 2026 debut. Key catalysts through year-end include further revenue disclosures, any public S-1 updates, and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, all of which influence trader views on whether valuation milestones can be cleared by December 31 amid ongoing cash burn and market multiples.