Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?” a 81% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 20% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 81% |
| Volume | $94,988 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
OpenAI’s $852 billion post-money valuation from its record $122 billion March 2026 funding round, anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, remains the key benchmark reaffirmed by an August 2026 $7 billion employee tender offer. Annualized revenue has climbed above $24 billion amid rapid ChatGPT adoption and infrastructure spending, supporting trader views on further upside, yet persistent losses and a shift toward a potential 2027 IPO—following the confidential June 2026 SEC filing—add uncertainty around whether the company can clear higher thresholds such as $1 trillion before year-end. Secondary market prices near $737 per share and comparable AI valuations like Anthropic’s $965 billion provide additional context for near-term sentiment.