Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
As of September 3, 2026, the market gives “Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?” a 74% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 27% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 74% |
| Volume | $97,625 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 3, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Recent releases have driven rapid gains on Arena.ai's Code Arena leaderboards, with Qwen3.8-Max-0902 debuting at the top of the WebDev category at 1691 points on September 2 after targeted post-training on coding and agentic workflows. Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants maintain strong positions near 1687–1765 across related coding tracks, while GPT-5.6 Sol and models from Kimi and DeepSeek trail closely in the 1600s. These Elo-style scores reflect community votes on real-world tasks like full-stack web development, where specialized fine-tuning and larger context windows directly boost performance. With roughly four months until year-end, further iterative updates from Anthropic, Alibaba, and OpenAI—along with potential new agentic tooling—represent the main catalysts that could push the highest scores higher before December 31.