Entertainment prediction markets

Box-office battles, award-season races, album drops and celebrity headlines, quantified. Prediction markets turn watercooler debates about culture into live probabilities.

Live Entertainment markets

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Closes November 19, 2026
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Clavicular sentenced to prison?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Closes December 20, 2026
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Closes June 30, 2027
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Closes November 19, 2026
Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?Closes December 31, 2026
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Closes November 30, 2026
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Closes December 31, 2026
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Twice release a song in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
X banned in any European country by December 31?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Closes December 31, 2026
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Closes February 28, 2027
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Closes September 14, 2026
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Kendrick Lamar be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?Closes September 14, 2026
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Closes September 14, 2026
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Closes September 14, 2026
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?Closes December 31, 2026
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Closes September 14, 2026

Past Entertainment markets

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Closed July 20, 2026
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Closed July 19, 2026
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Closed July 20, 2026
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Closed July 19, 2026
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?Closed July 20, 2026
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Closed July 20, 2026
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Closed July 19, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
Trump out as President before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Closed July 19, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Closed July 19, 2026
Another pandemic before GTA VI?Closed July 31, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?Closed July 19, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?Closed July 19, 2026
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?Closed July 31, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Closed July 19, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Closed August 2, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?Closed July 19, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Closed August 2, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?Closed August 2, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Closed July 28, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Closed July 28, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Closed July 28, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Closed July 28, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Closed July 28, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Closed July 26, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Closed August 2, 2026
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?Closed July 31, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Closed August 2, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Closed July 27, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Closed July 27, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?Closed July 26, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Closed July 27, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?Closed August 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Closed July 28, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Closed July 28, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Closed July 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Closed July 31, 2026