Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?” a 86% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 14% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 86% |
| Volume | $501,091 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds the strongest trader consensus for 2026’s highest gross due to its prime July 31 summer slot, the enduring global draw of the Tom Holland-led Spider-Man franchise, and fresh marketing momentum from a recently released trailer that spotlighted high-profile cameos and escalating stakes. Toy Story 5 sits second thanks to Pixar’s reliable family audience and its June 19 release, though it faces immediate competition in a crowded summer window. Avengers: Doomsday benefits from Marvel’s event status and a December 18 holiday berth but trails amid questions about long-term franchise fatigue. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey round out notable contenders through proven IP and directorial pedigree, respectively, while later or lower-profile releases show limited upside in current tracking.