Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?” a 76% chance of YES.
| YES odds | 76% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 25% |
| Volume | $32,137 |
| Closes | September 14, 2026 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
HBO Max’s commanding 122 Emmy nominations—led by *The Pitt* (25 noms) and final-season *Hacks* (24 noms)—have driven trader consensus toward a 75.5% implied probability of securing the most wins at the Sept. 14 ceremony. Its depth across drama, comedy, and below-the-line categories, combined with historical Emmy dominance and frontrunner momentum in guild and critics’ precursors, positions the platform well ahead of Netflix’s 111 nods and Apple TV’s record 87. Apple’s buzzy newcomers *Widow’s Bay* and *Pluribus* create some upside risk, while Netflix’s volume in limited series offers limited concentration. With Creative Arts voting underway and final ballots closed, the market reflects HBO Max’s structural edge in converting nominations into wins.