Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
As of October 21, 2026, the market gives “Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?” a 98% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 2% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 98% |
| Volume | $938,142 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated October 21, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.