Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?” a 78% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 22% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 78% |
| Volume | $40,695 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Ella Langley’s record-setting 20-week run atop the Billboard Hot 100 with “Choosin’ Texas” has anchored 2026 chart dynamics, delivering the longest non-holiday reign by a female country artist and fueling strong trader focus on established and crossover acts. Taylor Swift added three leaders—including the Pixar soundtrack single “I Knew It, I Knew You”—pushing her career total to 15 and highlighting soundtrack and streaming power. Ten artists have reached No. 1 year-to-date, including Bruno Mars, Ariana Grande (her 10th career hit), Drake, BTS, Olivia Rodrigo, Bad Bunny, and Harry Styles, reflecting a competitive landscape with high streaming metrics and radio airplay. Fall album drops from artists such as Miley Cyrus, Tinashe, and K-pop acts, plus holiday season surges, remain key catalysts that could expand the list before year-end.