Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
As of July 29, 2026, the market gives “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?” a 97% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 3% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 97% |
| Volume | $26,307 |
| Closes | July 31, 2026 |
Updated July 29, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Recent post-IPO volatility in SpaceX shares and Tesla stock has created tight trader consensus across net worth brackets for July 31, with Musk’s fortune fluctuating sharply around the $900 billion to $1.1 trillion range since mid-June. A brief trillionaire milestone after SpaceX’s June 12 debut gave way to steep sell-offs driven by broader tech weakness, AI valuation concerns, and potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, pulling estimates back near $970 billion. Key swing factors include Tesla’s EV and autonomy progress, SpaceX/Starlink performance, xAI model releases, and macroeconomic sentiment, all of which can shift valuations rapidly over the next month. This uncertainty keeps multiple price bands competitive as traders weigh short-term market moves against longer-term growth in Musk’s core holdings.