Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?” a 70% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 30% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 70% |
| Volume | $352,392 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Tyler Robinson, charged with aggravated murder and related felonies in the September 2025 assassination of Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University, advanced toward trial after a Utah judge ruled on September 1, 2026, that prosecutors established probable cause on all seven counts, including the capital charge that keeps the death penalty available. Robinson entered not guilty pleas through counsel. The next step is a pretrial conference on October 23, with no trial date set. In a death penalty case involving extensive evidence such as DNA matches, surveillance footage, and alleged statements, the procedural timeline through motions, discovery, and potential jury selection makes a final conviction before the market’s December 31, 2026, resolution window unlikely, supporting traders’ 70% probability on “No.”