Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?” a 99% chance of YES.
| YES odds | 99% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 1% |
| Volume | $227,207 |
| Closes | July 31, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Israel's Knesset faces dissolution amid coalition fractures over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, with Haredi parties withdrawing support from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government. Lawmakers advanced a coalition-backed dissolution bill through a preliminary reading in May and its first reading on June 2 with near-unanimous votes, setting a potential election window between September 8 and October 20 ahead of the statutory October 27 deadline. The measure requires two additional readings to become law. Polling indicates Netanyahu's bloc trails the opposition, while unresolved disputes over conscription and coalition stability continue to shape the timeline for early elections.