Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?” a 99% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 1% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 99% |
| Volume | $859,436 |
| Closes | October 31, 2026 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
The Los Angeles Dodgers hold the top implied probability at 30.5% due to their 83-57 record atop the NL West, bolstered by a favorable remaining schedule and consistent performance despite recent offensive inconsistencies from key contributors like Shohei Ohtani. The Milwaukee Brewers sit at 12.7% on the strength of the majors' best mark at 87-54 and a commanding NL Central lead, reflecting strong run differential and late-season stability. In the AL, the Tampa Bay Rays (83-57) and New York Yankees (80-60) benefit from AL East positioning and playoff clinch projections near 100%, while the Atlanta Braves (83-57) and Philadelphia Phillies (79-61) maintain NL East contention with solid recent form. Other contenders like the Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, and Chicago White Sox trail based on current standings gaps and tougher September matchups, with wild-card races still fluid entering the final weeks.