Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?” a 90% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 10% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 90% |
| Volume | $2,696,162 |
| Closes | December 6, 2026 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Kimi Antonelli holds overwhelming favorite status in the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship market due to his dominant early-season form, including five wins in the first six rounds that built a commanding points cushion now standing at 59 over teammates and rivals. Mercedes’ strong overall package and Antonelli’s consistency have kept him ahead despite recent non-finishes and a grid penalty ahead of the Italian Grand Prix. George Russell and Lewis Hamilton sit tied on points in the standings but trail significantly on wins, while defending champion Lando Norris has closed ground with victories in Hungary and the Netherlands. The remaining calendar offers limited scope for dramatic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around the current hierarchy.