Will the Cleveland Guardians hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will the Cleveland Guardians hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?” a 99% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 1% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 99% |
| Volume | $64,079 |
| Closes | October 11, 2026 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
The Chicago Cubs lead MLB with 198 home runs through roughly 141 games, narrowly ahead of the Washington Nationals at 193 and New York Yankees at 192, while the Houston Astros sit at 185 and several other clubs remain within striking distance. Recent power surges, including the Cubs' nine-homer outburst on August 31, have reinforced their edge, yet the Yankees' consistent output from multiple contributors and the Nationals' balanced attack keep the top three tightly bunched. With 20-plus games remaining, late-season form, injuries to key sluggers, and matchup-specific pitching matchups continue to influence implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus. The compressed spread among frontrunners underscores how small differences in remaining production can still reorder the final standings.