Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
As of July 29, 2026, the market gives “Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?” a 87% chance of YES.
| YES odds | 87% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 13% |
| Volume | $66,557 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 29, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Petr Yan reclaimed the UFC bantamweight title with a unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, but a subsequent minor back surgery has sidelined the champion into summer 2026. Dvalishvili has publicly pushed for an immediate trilogy bout, citing Yan's prior readiness comments and his own willingness to fight soon, which aligns with the strong market consensus around a rematch. Umar Nurmagomedov and Sean O'Malley sit as the next most plausible options due to their current rankings, recent form, and status as division contenders who could slot in if the trilogy is delayed or bypassed. Lower-probability names reflect longer-shot scenarios involving other ranked bantamweights or cross-division matchups, though official injury recovery timelines and UFC matchmaking priorities continue to shape the outlook.