Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?” a 91% chance of YES.
| YES odds | 91% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 9% |
| Volume | $1,095,394 |
| Closes | December 6, 2026 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after securing eight wins in the opening 11-12 rounds, fueled by its power unit's strong performance under the new regulations emphasizing electric hybrid output and sustainable fuels. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell have delivered consistent podiums and victories, building a 72-87 point advantage over Ferrari despite occasional reliability setbacks. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through frequent upgrades and strong showings from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, while McLaren has gained momentum with recent victories from Lando Norris. Trader consensus reflects Mercedes' early benchmark status, though sustained development races, reliability execution, and potential late-season gains by rivals could still influence the outcome before the final rounds.