Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?
As of September 5, 2026, the market gives “Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?” a 64% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 37% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 64% |
| Volume | $3,674 |
| Closes | December 13, 2026 |
Updated September 5, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Kimi Antonelli leads F1 Action of the Year trader consensus at 36.5% due to his string of record-setting performances in the 2026 season, including multiple pole-to-win conversions, youngest-ever polesitter and championship leader marks, and dominant displays at Monaco and Spa where he pulled away decisively after safety car restarts and pressure from rivals. Verstappen sits second at 27.6% on the strength of standout overtakes, such as his precise divebomb on Hamilton during the Hungarian Grand Prix that highlighted his continued benchmark status despite Red Bull's challenges. Hamilton at 14.2% and Norris at 10.1% reflect their competitive form and wheel-to-wheel battles, while lower-priced drivers like Leclerc and Bortoleto trail amid fewer highlighted maneuvers through the first half of the campaign. These implied probabilities capture the wisdom of crowds reacting to recent on-track highlights ahead of the FIA Awards.