Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
As of July 28, 2026, the market gives “Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?” a 86% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 14% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 86% |
| Volume | $75,845 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 28, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Sean Strickland holds the highest implied probability at 55.4% to remain UFC middleweight champion through the end of 2026 after capturing the belt via split decision over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May, marking his second title reign and demonstrating consistent decision-winning form against top competition. Chimaev (18.0%) and Nassourdine Imavov (19.6%) follow as the primary threats due to their recent activity levels, striking volume, and grappling credentials in the division, while Dricus Du Plessis (11.8%) sits lower following his earlier title loss. Trader consensus reflects Strickland’s proven ability to control fights over five rounds and the competitive nature of the 185-pound division, where recent title changes and contender depth create uncertainty beyond the immediate term.