Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?” a 91% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 9% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 91% |
| Volume | $800,629 |
| Closes | December 6, 2026 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors’ Championship by a wide margin after strong early-season results under the new technical regulations, with its power unit and aerodynamic package delivering consistent pace and reliability across multiple grands prix. Both drivers have contributed heavily to the points haul, extending the advantage over Ferrari and McLaren despite the latter teams’ ongoing development programs. Recent upgrades from rivals have narrowed the performance differential in qualifying and race trim, yet the current gap leaves limited realistic pathways for challengers to overtake before the season concludes. Late swings remain possible if reliability issues emerge or if further aerodynamic gains shift the competitive order in the remaining rounds.