Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?” a 74% chance of NO.

YES odds27%
NO odds74%
Volume$424,970
ClosesJanuary 1, 2027

Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized. If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

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