Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
As of September 2, 2026, the market gives “Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?” a 82% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 19% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 82% |
| Volume | $16,344 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 2, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
**Major tax legislation enacted in July 2025 has already addressed many business tax priorities.** The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) permanently extended key 2017 TCJA provisions, reinstated full expensing for R&D and equipment, broadened interest deductibility, made the Section 199A pass-through deduction permanent, and delivered other corporate relief measures without lowering the statutory corporate rate below 21 percent. As of September 2026, congressional attention has shifted to OBBBA implementation, government funding measures, tax administration reforms, and the approaching November midterms, with no active reconciliation vehicle or leadership push for further corporate rate reductions. Treasury regulatory actions have provided some additional relief on issues such as the corporate alternative minimum tax, but these fall short of statutory rate changes. The compressed legislative calendar and competing priorities before 2027 have reinforced trader expectations against additional corporate tax cuts in the resolution window.