Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?” a 94% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 6% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 94% |
| Volume | $90,258 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Trader consensus on a Stripe-PayPal deal closing in 2026 reflects the late-August collapse of the $53 billion bid jointly submitted by Stripe and Advent International. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while stronger-than-expected Q2 results and a raised full-year outlook under CEO Enrique Lores bolstered the company’s standalone valuation and negotiating stance. The abrupt withdrawal triggered a sharp share-price decline, underscoring limited near-term M&A momentum. Although a revived approach cannot be ruled out, the compressed timeline to year-end and persistent valuation gaps make completion improbable before resolution.