Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?” a 91% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 10% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 91% |
| Volume | $83,364 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Recent failed negotiations between Stripe, private equity firm Advent International, and PayPal explain the 91% market-implied odds against any acquisition in 2026. The consortium's July 2026 offer of roughly $53 billion, or $60.50 per share, was rejected by PayPal's board as undervaluing the company amid valuation gaps, regulatory complexity, and financing hurdles for what would have been one of the largest fintech deals on record. Talks collapsed by late August, with PayPal shares reacting sharply and the company advancing its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores following recent earnings beats. While a renewed approach or partial asset divestiture remains theoretically possible before year-end, the compressed timeline, entrenched positions, and execution risks reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing.