Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?
As of September 2, 2026, the market gives “Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?” a 84% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 17% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 84% |
| Volume | $6,729 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 2, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Traders see Sergey Brin as the narrow frontrunner for third-richest status on December 31 because his Alphabet stake sits just behind Jeff Bezos in current Bloomberg and Forbes rankings, leaving room for relative outperformance in the final months. Close behind sit Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang, and Bezos, with probabilities clustered in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting volatile tech valuations and the potential for AI-driven gains at Meta and Nvidia to close gaps. Warren Buffett and Steve Ballmer trail as steadier but slower-moving options, while Elon Musk’s 4% odds underscore his commanding lead at the top. Momentum hinges on upcoming earnings, chip demand trends, and broader market swings that could reorder the middle of the pack before year-end.